A place where sceptics can exchange their views

Thursday, 19 December 2019

"It's not the Tories wot won it ; it's the opposition wot lost it".

As predicted the Tories won the general election. They didn't need a "guru" to win it for them, they just needed Corbyn and Swinson to lose it. And, they lost it big time. Allowing the governing party to hold a general election was naive and stupid. No wonder countries fail when we have politicians who have taken leave of their senses.

The same people who ran the "Remain" referendum campaign, and failed, organised the opposition to the Tory government. It is correct to say that working class "Leave" voters were treated with disdain and arrogance and they switched their votes in droves to the Conservatives.

I was brought up in a working class family and I think I know how the working class think. They do not want state handouts. They want secure employment which pays them enough to allow them to bring up their families without the need for benefits. They want decent housing without out being pushed from one tenancy to another. They want the opportunity to buy their own house. They want decent schools and above all a decent health service . And, they want this for their children. The working class want exactly the same things as the middle class. They don't particularly want riches but they want a fair crack of the whip. They want the dignity that has been afforded to the middle classes in the affluent South of England.

Successive governments have failed them and above all the Labour party. Wealth has been taken away from them and it has been passed to the rich. Wealth has not cascaded down as Margaret Thatcher promised, it has been sucked up under successive Labour, Conservative and Coalition governments.

None of Britain's social problems can be blamed on the EU; they are all home made. In Germany both the Social Democrats and Christian Democrats have looked after the ordinary citizen far better than British politicians have. The Germans have learnt to apply "real politics" to their social agenda rather than ultra- liberal or socialist ideology.

Lets face it, many working class people are xenophobes just like many middle class people are. It has been easy to blame foreigners and immigration for our predicament rather poor government policy. The working classes have a generosity of spirit and it is rather easy to reason with them that resentment of others is no good: of course, this generosity of spirit is given more freely when you are not being trodden on.

What are the working classes going to get from the Tory government? They have been promised equality of opportunity but just that. But what happens if poor housing and education and poverty prevent  you from exploiting your new found opportunities? You will be left on the scrap heap, just as you were before.

To leave the EU without a deal, which closely resembles what we have got now, will leave Britain poorer and with less tax revenue to improve the lives of the left behind. A trade deal with the US will not compensate for what we are losing, and Britain might have to sell the NHS to large US Corporations. Watch out.

The Conservatives have promised a lot to the disadvantaged but this means redistributing the wealth; large Corporations and the middle classes might come to resent this. So watch out again.

Divisions in  Northern Ireland and Scotland could lead to political and economic instability and who would suffer the most? You've guessed it.

Forty years in the EU has contributed to British economic success but the fruits of that success have not been distributed equitably. The EU has contributed to peace in Northern Ireland. What will happen when all this is taken away?

Most people, including those in the working class, will probably live to regret what will be taken away from them. Freedom of movement of labour may have been a small price to pay for continued social cohesion and economic development. So be it.

Wednesday, 11 December 2019

This is the worst General Election Campaign that I can remember

This year's UK general election campaign is the worst that I can remember in my 68 years. The campaign has been infected by lies, promises that cannot or will not be met, bluster and bull shit.

Real facts have been challenged by fake facts. All of the media are reporting unchallenged nonsense.

The BBC has been a disgrace it has not not critically examined the claims of politicians and has not exposed their lies and deceit.

Recently, a BBC journalist challenged the Labour party to provide evidence  about the poor behaviour of the 5 large corporations towards their employees - and rightly so. The BBC, however, at no time challenged the lies and deceit over Brexit and the new deal.

The electorate have been cheated. The only parties which are not lying and cheating are in a substantial minority. My vote will be going to the Green Party which attempts to put forward evidence based policies. I particularly like their idea of setting aside 15% of farmland which will be managed to improve the environment for wild life. They are also advocating that each school is twinned with a farm so that children will be able to see agriculture and animal husbandry at first hand and how this should fit into an improved ecology. These are the sort of intelligent, economical and practical measures which should be put forward to the electorate.

If the Conservative party wins they are going to execute a Brexit which will possibly be ruinous to the UK. Our standing in the world will be reduced. We will lose substantial trade agreements with the EU and with all the nations, such as Japan and Canada, which the EU has negotiated for us. Most of our current trading agreements will have to be renegotiated from a weaker position.

Britain will not get a trade agreement with the US unless the NHS is on the table. Britain could end up not having favourable trade arrangements with the EU, the US, Japan and Canada. It is shameful that a government would put us in this position. It is time for all politicians to tell the truth about Britain's future.

What is more shameful is the commercial and political position of Northern Ireland. Northern Ireland will be subject to the rules of two customs unions: the UK's and the EU's. Despite what the prime minister says there will be a commercial border between the Northern Ireland and Great Britain. This situation is a terrible mistake and both the UK and the EU could live to regret this.  The prime minister has not negotiated a super new deal better than Theresa May's but he has settled for what the EU proposed in the first place. He has caved in to the EU's demands. The loyalist community now know that they have been cheated. Conflict could return to Northern Ireland because of this.

Many people voted for Brexit as they saw this as a means to reduce immigration. If our economy is to thrive then we need immigrants both skilled and unskilled. If immigration stops then the economy, as it is modelled now, will fall into decline. EU citizens are leaving in droves from the NHS, the Finance industry and others: this will have to be reversed. The British people should be told the facts. People coming to our country improve the fabric of our society. They should not be feared and Britain should organise itself to accommodate them.

When we leave the EU there will not be enough money to fund the promises of the two major political parties. The electorate will have been deceived, Bexit voters will suffer the consequences as will Remain voters and those who did not vote. The 13 million of the electorate who did not vote in the referendum still expect the government to act in their interests. The best way for f the government to act in everyone's interests would be either to stay in the EU, or to leave but stay in the Customs Union and Single market. It is not in our national interest to remove ourselves from free trade agreements with the EU, Japan and Canada only to sell our country to the US in exchange.

I hope the electorate will vote wisely but I fear they will not.   The slow decline of the UK will start on Friday the 13th.